Categories: Politics

JUST IN: Five Reasons Saraki won’t get PDP’s Presidential Ticket

The article below highlights five possible reasons Nigeria’s Senate President, Bukola Saraki might not clinch the Presidential Ticket of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP.

Saraki’s political spread of influence is strongest in Kwara State, which happens to be in the North Central geopolitical zone. The voting strength of Kwara is 1,115,665 — greater only than that of Niger that has 721,478 in the geopolitical zone. The total number of registered voters in the zone is7,675,369.

These are paltry figures compared to the 2,931,668 of Katsina the sitting president’s State and the 18,900,543 total number of registered voters in the Northwest where Katsina belongs. Safe to say, then, that Saraki is a ‘major in the minor and a minor in the major’. As things stand, to field Saraki against Buhari is to commit political hara-kiri. This the PDP leaders surely understand.

At a public dialogue in Abuja organised by #NotTooYoungToRun movement on Thursday, Senate President Bukola Saraki formally announced his intention to run for the President in 2019 on the platform of Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

By this announcement, he put paid to the speculations about his political ambition and perhaps made known the reason for his recent peripatetic “consultations” across the country. But it is unlikely he will win the PDP presidential ticket much less succeed Muhammadu Buhari in May 2019, and here are a few reasons why.

1) SARAKI MORE FEARED THAN LOVED

Believe it or not, any man whose residence a siege is laid to, regardless of the motive, is considered a threat. And whatever we fear we are always wary of, if not seek a means to destroy.

Though the siege happened to Saraki in the twilight of his membership in the APC, it’s an event that speaks volumes of how power-brokers across the spectrum of political parties perceive him. The PDP only condemned the Nigeria Police’s move to spite the APC-led Federal Government and gain political mileage.

The political heavyweights in the PDP do not see Saraki in any way better than the ruling party sees him. The reaction of Akogun Iyiola Oyedepo, former PDP state chairman in Kwara, to Saraki’s return to the PDP is a reflection of how most PDP bigwigs see the Senate President.

Iyiola said he could not work with Saraki and therefore defected to the APC. Other political bigwigs have refused to voice their feelings because in politics, there is safety in numbers and Saraki is a cult figure, especially in Kwara state, with massive following.

So they welcomed him with bear hug. The decision makers in the PDP just want to use him as leverage to wrest the reins of power from the APC, especially at the federal level, but they will work against his emergence as their presidential candidate.

2) HIS POLITICAL CLOUT IS OVERRATED

It will be too dismissive to say a two-time former Governor of a state and current Senate President is a political midget. Saraki, in his own right, is a force to reckon with politically.

But his current, oversized political stature was handed to him on a silver platter by the APC courtesy of its garrulous National Chairman and the party’s unwitting but needless making of a mountain of every molehill of an action by Saraki. The APC unwittingly turned Saraki into a victim; and he played the victim card with all smartness to win the sympathy of a large section of the public.

This the power-brokers in the PDP know because they contributed to his oversized stature in their own way to denigrate the APC, but they are not under any form of illusion as to his real political stature which is no match for the sitting President’s, especially in their shared northern enclave.

This will inform their decision to work against his candidature in the primaries. They desperately need a match for Buhari from the North, where the position has been zoned to.

3) SARAKI A HARD NUT TO CRACK

It is always the desire of power-brokers in a political party to field a politician whose ears they have regardless of his political clout. But Saraki has shown during his APC years that he is no political lapdog whose skin they can stroke for fun or a dog they can easily, on a leash, walk down the corridors of power. Saraki is that kind of politician who prefers having things on his own terms regardless of whether it is through fair or foul means.

He exhibited this trait again on Thursday when he usurped and seized upon an event organized for a completely different purpose to announce his 2019 presidential ambition. The power-brokers can not forget how he emerged as Senate President in the APC, too. These, among others, will make them have misgivings about entrusting him with the highest political office.

4) UNFAVOURABLE VOTING DEMOGRAPHY

Saraki’s political spread of influence is strongest in Kwara State, which happens to be in the North Central geopolitical zone.

The voting strength of Kwara is 1,115,665 — greater only than that of Niger that has 721,478 in the geopolitical zone. The total number of registered voters in the zone is7,675,369.

These are paltry figures compared to the 2,931,668 of Katsina the sitting president’s State and the 18,900,543 total number of registered voters in the Northwest where Katsina belongs. Safe to say, then, that Saraki is a ‘major in the minor and a minor in the major’. As things stand, to field Saraki against Buhari is to commit political hara-kiri. This the PDP leaders surely understand.

5) THE ‘SKELETON’ IN HIS CUPBOARD

Saraki and the APC are sworn enemies. Having failed in its previous attempts to stop him from defecting to the PDP by tightening and loosening — depending on his body language — the noose of litigation around his neck through the court, they will not want him to have the last laugh.

Consequently, the APC will dust the ‘dirty’ dossier on him should he win the PDP presidential ticket. They are reserving the Offa banks robbery case for this purpose; the case is a convenient stuff for propaganda.

Should PDP field him as presidential candidate, APC will ensure the platform becomes the scaffold on which he is hanged with the noose of propaganda. PDP knows this and will guard against it.

JUST IN: Five Reasons Saraki won’t get PDP’s Presidential Ticket was last modified: September 3rd, 2018 by Politics Nigeria
Politics Nigeria

PoliticsNGR Staff

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  • All prominent Nigerian politicians have skeletons, both real and fabricated. Saraki is not an exception to that rule. Atiku, Sule Lamido, David Mark, Kwankwaso, Tambuwal etc. all have their various baggage and crosses to carry. It's no different in the APC either.

    The only thing that really should count is the personality's political reach and spread. Who amongst all the contenders has the greatest political clout and national spread in terms of capturing votes. Who amongst them has the best political network for advancing their party's goals. Those are the relevant yardsticks for determining the best candidate.

    So, considering our geopolitical makeup, what can Saraki bring to the table which other aspirants cannot? That's the important question. Can Saraki pull a reasonable measure of the SS, SE and SW votes into the bag to cause an upset? Does he have the political network to pursue these gains?

    Between Atiku and Saraki, it will appear whereas Saraki may depend on a group of Senators to till his political farm nationally, Atiku may find his political harvest from a network of political old boys. Whereas David Mark may play spoiler, feasting off both Saraki and Atiku's forte.

    2019 are indeed going to lead to very interesting times. But one thing l do know, is that the good, the bad and the ugly have queued up behind Buhari, and this makes for a very formidable offensive.

  • Nigerians are not fools. This is not an issue of political spread or clout of aspirants rather the electorate would certainly be looking at presidential aspirants antecedents in respect of how well they have used their offices to positively affect Nigerians. For Buhari he has consistently handIed the unprovoked killings across the nation with kids gloves; via conspitorial and deafening silence. Its only a fool that would want him back for a second term. The writer of this article has failed to take this into account because he's not a victim of the marauding Herdsmen.

  • There are more reasons why Saraki should not get PDP ticket,that is if PDP is serious.In my view Dr Saraki did nothing to merit the presidency. He blew his opportunity as senate president. As a senator he conningly snatched senate presidency. As senate president he did nothing to restructure Nigeria. He did not block the loop holes in the constitution that the high and mighty exploit.He did not cut by legislation the astronomical salaries and emoluments of political office holders. He did not create political offenses commission. He did not block the loop holes that frustrate the corruption fight & reign of impunity.He did nothing to make the APC government to succeed. I cannot see one thing he did to allign himself with
    the ordinary Nigerians.I think Bukola Saraki never knew what Nigerians wanted from a progressive National assembly before becoming senate president. He is not therefore sellable to Nigerians that are already tired of these same people.I think PDP is in a dilemma between fielding who can defeat Buhari and who can deliver good governance to Nigerians.

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